A churchyard in the Yorkshire Dales
Note the beautiful dry-stone wall
And, of course, the beautiful Linda
I am plunging back into the scientific literature regarding
early detection of ovarian cancer. I am
pleased to be able to boast that I understand one hell of a lot more now than I
did 18 months ago, when I took my initial dip.
That is not to say that I have anything like a competent handle on the
subject, nor that you should believe anything I say. Probably what I say now should be taken with
an even larger grain of salt than previously: earlier, I was afraid to conclude
much of anything, because of the obvious fact that I would probably be
wrong. Now I am beginning to think that
I know something I am more inclined to make judgments and even (gasp!) give
advice. The original warnings still apply: I am a superannuated earth scientist,
awash in an ocean of biochemistry. Don’t
trust me.
That said, I want to talk (once again) about early detection
of ovarian cancer. I believe it is commonly
agreed that early detection is the best way to save lives. There seem to be two approaches to this task:
develop a symptom index (of which I have written many times before), or find a
“marker” – a molecule of some kind carried by the blood (or urine) . The symptom index has proven useful, but
unfortunately symptoms usually kick in only when the cancer is in a late stage
of development. The same can be said of
two protein markers that elevate along with cancer development: cancer antigen
125 (CA125) and human epididymis protein 4 (HD4). These markers often vary in unison, with the
newly validated HD4 (validated by my Hutch group) showing perhaps the greater
promise. My group (and others) has
developed a way of using changes in an individual woman’s CA125 (and HD4?)
levels as a more sensitive predictor.
We have also tried to use a molecule called mesothelin* as a marker, but
apparently with no outstanding success.
I hope we keep on studying mesothelin.
You certainly remember Jack Andraka, the 14 year old kid who has
invented a 3 cent, 5 minute test for elevated mesothelin. Mesothelin also is known to be elevated in ovarian cancer. Part of the argument against screening the
general population for OVCA is that its prevalence is so low that the screening
would be prohibitively expensive. If
there are 25 million post-menopausal women in the United States you could
screen them all every year, using Jack’s test, for $75,000. This is a rounding error in the fiscal burden of
cancer.
It also has been shown fairly recently that microRNAs of
certain types elevate with ovarian cancer.
Micro RNAs are very short strands of the nucleic acid RNA. They are mysterious to some extent, but one
thing they do is regulate gene expression: turn genes on and off, as
needed. I have an irrational hunch that
miRNAs are going to be a big player in future cancer research. Muneesh Tewari, of whom I wrote a short time
ago, is studying miRNA.
So, yes, I am trying to get serious about this cancer
biochemistry stuff. To do that, I need to understand some basic statistical
concepts. I am going to put them in a
Comment – so that you can skip them without shame or effort. Maybe in a few days….
Actually, my "basic statistical concepts" have morphed into a considerable essay, with illustrations. I was going to post it as another blog. However, perhaps luckily for you, the Lord has ruled otherwise: I can't seem to figure out how to post it.
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