Linda enjoying another baby
Talc is in the news; Johnson & Johnson has been ordered
by a jury to pay $72 million to the family of a woman who died at 62 of ovarian
cancer. She was a longtime user of
talcum powder, and her suit contends that this was the cause of her
disease. Needless to say, J & J is
appealing. $72 million is pocket change
to J & J; clearly they are fighting to retain a profitable product. They will do so if they can demonstrate that
talc is safe, presumably by means of clinical trials. So, job opportunities galore for statistically
minded biologists. In the meantime; what
to think?
I have written about talc and lawsuits before: http://ljb-quiltcutie.blogspot.com/2015/05/of-torts-and-talcum-powder.html.
So what is talc, anyway?
Chemically it is a hydrous magnesium silicate, formed from common magnesium-bearing
minerals such as olivine, pyroxene and serpentine by metamorphism in the
presence of water and carbon dioxide. It
is the softest natural mineral. It
usually occurs in extremely small grains, often in the company of
asbestos. It is a principal component of
soapstone. And, it often can be found in
small containers next to piles of diapers.
Well, we all know that asbestos can cause lung cancer, but
it appears that asbestos is not central to this issue because asbestos in talc
has been sought out and eliminated since the 1970s. However, asbestos remains an element in the
dispute: asbestos is deadly because of its small grain size; it can lodge in
the lung and cause genetic changes that lead to cancer. Well, talc also forms tiny grains; could
these tiny grains lodge in ovarian epithelium, cause genetic changes,
etc.? What is needed is scientific proof
– principally in the form of clinical trials.
And here is where things get ugly.
Glossary:
Case-control
study: A study which matches individuals
who have a condition with another, as like as possible, who does not have the
condition. This is a retrospective study: subjects are asked
to think back and report how often and how intensely did they do
something-or-other, such as smoke cigarettes or use talcum powder.
Recall
bias: The likelihood that people with
the disease are more likely to report the activity under study than those who
are free of the condition. I explain it
badly, but you get the point.
Cohort
studies: These are prospective. A cohort is
formed (for instance, all women named Alice born in New Jersey in 1948). This cohort reports periodically on the thing
under study – talcum powder use, for instance. After a suitably long time the
statisticians are summoned to see if there is a “robust” correlation that MIGHT
reflect cause and effect. Recall bias is
eliminated in cohort studies, rendering this approach more reliable.
So what do these studies indicate? One researcher cited avers that the case is
closed and has been for some time: 20 well-executed case control studies
published over the last 30 years agree that talc usage is associated with
increased incidence of ovarian cancer, by as much as 30%. Recall bias is cited by some, but dismissed
with considerable scorn by others. To me
it is noteworthy that there is a positive “dose response” in talc use: the more
you use, the worse your odds. Case
closed, huh?
But wait. Two recent cohort
studies have shown no significant correlation with use of talc and ovarian
cancer. These were based on very large
data bases, and presumably conducted properly.
So what the heck?
It may be significant that the scientist quoted has derived
part of his income from Johnson & Johnson, but obviously he didn’t make the
whole thing up.
Well, how might talc cause ovarian cancer? As suggested earlier, maybe tiny talc grains
become lodged in the ovary (or fallopian tubes) and cause long-term, localized inflammation,
resulting in cancer. Nobody has shown that
this happens, but then – nobody has tried.
It is significant that many autopsies find talc grains where they should
not be, including in ovarian tumor tissue.
So what is the bottom line?
You guessed it: MORE RESEARCH IS NEEDED (!) Experts disagree. The American Cancer Society “calls for more
research” and states that “if there is an increased risk it is likely to be
small”. 30%, in my book, is not small.
In the meantime, you can bet your prized collection of
talcum powder dispensers that J&J is conducting a massive cover-your butt
operation. If they knew that their product was not entirely safe and did
nothing about it then they deserve their fate: bankruptcy.
Apparently there is a corn starch product that can sub for
talcum powder. Why not use it?